Reckonfield

Production teardown · from public RRC filings

SAMPLE OPERATOR LLC (anonymized)

101 producing leases analyzed · Texas RRC monthly production

Estimated production sitting below your wells’ own decline trend
~$228,372/yr
A conservative signal from public monthly data — roughly $19,031/month of output your leases are running under their own fitted decline. Real deferment is usually larger and only visible in your SCADA.
101
leases analyzed
27%
avg annual decline
5
wells with a liquid-loading signature

Your biggest opportunities (public-data estimate)

Lease / wellCountyStreamDeclineRecent rateEst. below-trend $/mo
EXAMPLE LEASE 1GAS27%10,242 Mcf/mo$4,088
EXAMPLE LEASE 2GAS16%12,523 Mcf/mo$3,810
EXAMPLE LEASE 3GAS16%12,997 Mcf/mo$2,172
EXAMPLE LEASE 4OIL98%847 bbl/mo$1,890
EXAMPLE LEASE 5GAS12%11,698 Mcf/mo$1,144
EXAMPLE LEASE 6OIL13%226 bbl/mo$1,029
EXAMPLE LEASE 7GAS41%240 Mcf/mo$857⚠ loading
EXAMPLE LEASE 8OIL14%262 bbl/mo$562
EXAMPLE LEASE 9OIL18%85 bbl/mo$444
EXAMPLE LEASE 10OIL41%55 bbl/mo$363
EXAMPLE LEASE 11GAS67%315 Mcf/mo$338⚠ loading
EXAMPLE LEASE 12OIL75%34 bbl/mo$258
How we got this — and what it can’t see.
This is built entirely from your public Texas RRC monthly filings — no access to your systems. For each lease we fit its own decline curve and measure how far recent months sit below it; the shortfall, priced out, is the estimate above. It’s deliberately conservative and coarse: monthly filings lag by weeks and are lease-level, not well-level. The daily, well-level version — the loading events, the deferment, the downtime you can actually recover — lives in your SCADA. That’s what Reckonfield reads.

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